Pivot Point Trading
Here's Your Lesson on Pivot Point Trading
You are going to love this lesson. Using
pivot points as a trading strategy has been around for a long
time and was originally used by floor traders. This was a nice
simple way for floor traders to have some idea of where the
market was heading during the course of the day with only a few
simple calculations.
The pivot point is the level at which the market direction
changes for the day. Using some simple arithmetic and the
previous days high, low and close, a series of points are
derived. These points can be critical support and resistance
levels.
The pivot level and levels calculated from that are
collectively known as pivot levels.
Every day the market you are following has an open, high,
low and a close for the day (some markets like forex are 24
hours but generally use 5pm EST as the open and close). This
information basically contains all the data you need to
calculate the pivot levels.
The reason pivot point trading is so popular is that pivot
points are predictive as opposed to lagging. You use the
information of the previous day to calculate potential turning
points for the day you are about to trade (present day).
Because so many traders follow pivot points you will often
find that the market reacts at these levels. This give you an
opportunity to trade.
Before I go into how you calculate pivot points, I just want
to point out that I have put an online calculator and a really
neat desktop version that you can download for free HERE
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If you would rather work the pivot points out by yourself,
the formula I use is below:
Resistance 3 = High + 2*(Pivot - Low)
Resistance 2 = Pivot + (R1 - S1)
Resistance 1 = 2 * Pivot - Low
Pivot Point = ( High + Close + Low )/3
Support 1 = 2 * Pivot - High
Support 2 = Pivot - (R1 - S1)
Support 3 = Low - 2*(High - Pivot)
As you can see from the above formula, just by having the
previous days high, low and close you eventually finish up with
7 points, 3 resistance levels, 3 support levels and the actual
pivot point.
If the market opens above the pivot point then the bias for
the day is for long trades as long as price remains above the
pivot point. If the market opens below the pivot point then the
bias for the day is for short trades as long as the market
remains below the pivot point.
The three most important pivot points are R1, S1 and the
actual pivot point.
The general idea behind trading pivot points is to look for
a reversal or break of R1 or S1. By the time the market reaches
R2,R3 or S2,S3 the market will already be overbought or
oversold and these levels should be used for exits rather than
entries.
A perfect set up would be for the market to open above the
pivot level and then stall slightly at R1 then go on to R2. You
would enter on a break of R1 with a target of R2 and if the
market was really strong close half at R2 and target R3 with
the remainder of your position.
This all looks pretty straight
forward.
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Unfortunately life is not that simple and we have to deal
with each trading day the best way we can. I have picked a day
at random from last week and what follows are some ideas on how
you could have traded that day using pivot points.
On the 12th August 04 the Euro/Dollar (EUR/USD) had the
following:
High - 1.2297
Low - 1.2213
Close - 1.2249
This gave us:
Resistance 3 = 1.2377
Resistance 2 = 1.2337
Resistance 1 = 1.2293
Pivot Point = 1.2253
Support 1 = 1.2209
Support 2 = 1.2169
Support 3 = 1.2125
Have a look at the 5 minute chart below

The green line is the pivot point. The blue lines are
resistance levels R1,R2 and R3. The red lines are support
levels S1,S2 and S3.
There are loads of ways to trade this day using pivot points
but I shall walk you through a few of them and discuss why some
are good in certain situations and why some are bad.
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The Breakout Trade
At the beginning of the day we were below the pivot point,
so our bias is for short trades. A channel formed so you would
be looking for a break out of the channel, preferably to the
downside. In this type of trade you would have your sell entry
order just below the lower channel line with a stop order just
above the upper channel line and a target of S1. The problem on
this day was that, S1 was very close to the breakout level and
there was just not enough meat in the trade (13 pips). This cab
be a good entry technique for you. Just because it was not
suitable this day, does not mean it will not be suitable the
next day.

The Pullback Trade
This is one of my favorite set ups. The market passes
through S1 and then pulls back. An entry order is placed below
support, which in this case was the most recent low before the
pullback. A stop is then placed above the pullback (the most
recent high - peak) and a target set for S2. The problem again,
on this day was that the target of S2 was to close, and the
market never took out the previous support, which tells us that
the market sentiment is beginning to change.

Advanced
As I mentioned earlier, there are lots of ways to trade with
pivot points. A more advanced method is to use the cross of two
moving averages as a confirmation of a breakout. You can even
use combinations of indicators to help you make a decision. It
might be the cross of two averages and also MACD must be in buy
mode.
In the example below the market passed through S1 and then
retraced to the S1 line again. It then formed a channel. At
around this time we had a cross of the averages, MACD signaled
buy and there was a breakout of the channel line. This gave a
great signal to go long with a target of the original pivot
line.
Mess around with a few of your favorite indicators to help
determine an entry around a pivot level but remember the signal
is a break of a level and the indicators are just
confirmation.
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We haven't even got into patterns around pivot levels or
failures but that is not the point of this lesson. I just want
to introduce another possible way for you to trade.
Good Trading
Mark McRae
Pivot Point Trading
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