Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
History
Moving Average
Convergence-Divergence
(MACD) was originally constructed by Gerald Appel an analyst
in New York. Originally designed for analysis of stock trends,
it is now widely used in many markets.
MACD is constructed by making an average of the difference
between two moving averages. The difference of the original two
moving averages and the moving average of the difference can be
plotted as two lines, one fast and one slow.
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Uses
Most modern charting software now includes MACD as standard.
Once selected to display in your charting software it normally
shows up as two lines plotted on an open scale against the zero
line. These two lines will normally be of different color or
one line a solid line and the other a dotted line. Frequently
used settings are 12 and 26 period exponential moving averages
with 9 period exponential moving average as the signal
line.
Although there are three moving averages mentioned you will
only see two lines. The simplest method of use is when the two
lines cross. If the faster signal line crosses above the slower
line then a buy signal is generated and vice versa. It is also
used as an overbought and oversold indicator. The higher above
the zero both lines are the more overbought it becomes and the
lower below the zero line both lines are the more oversold it
becomes.
It may also lead to a stronger signal if the signal line
crosses down when it is overbought and crosses up when it is
oversold. The last common use of MACD is that of
divergence.
If the MACD is making new lows and the price of the security
is not making new lows that is one form of divergence (bullish
divergence). Also, if the MACD has made a high and starts to
head down but price continues up that is another type of
divergence (bearish divergence) and may lead to an indication
of a change in direction.
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My Own Use Of MACD
I like to use the MACD as a trend indicator with parameters
set at 8 and 18 period exponential moving averages with a 9
period exponential moving average as the signal line. All I am
trying to do is establish a trend in a higher time period than
the one I intend to trade.
If you were trading day charts you would be looking at the
MACD on the weekly. If you were trading an hourly chart you
might look at the MACD on the daily. As long as the signal line
remains above or below the MACD line on the next higher time
frame you know the trend is still in place.
As you can see from the chart examples of the 30 min Cash
DJIA there was a sell signal on the 9th May 02. This was my
higher time frame as I was trading intraday. I then went to the
5 min chart of the Cash DJIA and sold the rallies, confident to
stay short as long as my higher time period MACD trend in the
30 min stayed intact. If the 30 min MACD signal line were to
cross up I would have closed all short positions.
30 Min Chart

5 Min Chart

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Good Trading
Mark McRae
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
(MACD)
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