Stock Picks 101 - The Evolution of a Trader
If you take a look at just about any
profession, you’ll find that people evolve through three
stages: novice, competent and expert. Let’s take a look at how
this works in the trading profession.
A novice trader is a one trick pony. They have one trading
style they cling to for dear life. When they perceive that it
no longer works, they’ll find a new system and believe with all
their might that THIS is the way… until it too shows itself to
be flawed. They are also inflexible and easily become confused
when the unexpected happens. And, sooner or later, the
unexpected will happen. They have lots of misconceptions, such
as “shorting is bad.”
After the novice has been bloodied and bruised enough, he
has a decision to make. Perhaps “trading is not for him.” If he
sticks with it long enough, he eventually develops the
experience to become competent.
A competent trader has “enough tricks in his bag” that he
can adapt to a range of situations. However, he knows he needs
to keep learning, and that there is always more to know. The
overconfidence of the novice is replaced by the experience to
know that uncertainty is a permanent fixture in his
relationship with his chosen market.
As a trader matures, it gradually dawns on him that there is
no “Holy Grail” of trading. There is no perfect indicator,
system or money management approach that will GUARANTEE
success. Usually, about the time the thankless search for the
Holy Grail ends, a trader is competent enough to find his way
without needing such an unrealistic psychological crutch.
A competent trader focuses on acquiring the right facts and
making disciplined decisions based on these facts. He feels
“safe” if he believes he “understands” the situation. For
example, he may have a number of ways of picking stocks and a
number of ways of playing his stock picks.
Eventually, a competent trader notices that he understands a
situation even if the facts are not all in. This is because he
can relate it to similar situations he has experienced in the
past. He is then ready to graduate to expert.
An expert trader has enough tools, stock trading software
and tactics under his belt that he can confidently take
advantage of a trading situation without having to rely on
detailed systems. In a sense, this is the opposite of the
novice approach, because the expert knows what he is doing on
an intuitive level. Getting to this point takes lots of hard
work, and, as the saying goes, “many are called but few are
chosen.”
However, the financial rewards for being an expert trader
are greater than in most professions. Being able to pull money
out of the market almost at will means you will make a very
nice living. However, there is one last hurdle to overcome.
It’s a battle that will last a lifetime: always be humble. No
matter how good you are, the market is willing to take it all
back if you ever forget that it will always be much bigger than
you are.
Trade well, with earned confidence, and you will
prosper.
Doug Newberry is the Director and Founder of Investing
Systems Network. He builds very reliable stock trading software so tens
of thousands of all kinds of investors can trade with
confidence. Investors in more than 25 countries enjoy his
newsletter and his weekly online radio show.
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